The site http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ made a detailed statistical prediction on Nov. 28 that Al Franken (Democratic candidate for Minnesota) would win his extremely tight race (now in recount) by 27 votes. At the time the difference was Franken trailing by about 500+ votes:
Franken to Win Recount by 27 Votes
So I was v. surprised to see this!
Franken Ahead 22 Votes Now, Campaign Says
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